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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$65.2M vol.

December 31

September 30

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$142.1K vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.8M vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3.3M vol.

76%

22%

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?

$15.9K vol.

80%

17%

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$5.4M vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$502.1K vol.

67%

5-6

47%

New pandemic in 2026?

$1M vol.

Yes

95%

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$2.9K vol.

13%

December 31, 2026

October 31, 2026

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

$2.2K vol.

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

$10.8K vol.

15%

December 31, 2027

December 31, 2026

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

$7.8K vol.

16%

Yes

85%

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

$45.2K vol.

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?

$38.8K vol.

88%

Yes

13%

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

$3.5K vol.

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

$2.5K vol.

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$335 vol.

Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

$6.9K vol.

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

$9.1K vol.

20,000+

100%

10,000+

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

$2.5K vol.

92%

Yes

14%

Precipitation in NYC in August?

$2.4K vol.

97%

>6"

5-6"

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$101.7K vol.

11%

Yes

91%

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

$195.9K vol.

Yes

98%

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.3M vol.