FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. 

If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Shakira

Coldplay

J Balvin

Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp. 

Olivia Rodrigo

Taylor Swift

Drake

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in June?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.


This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including recordings of live events) by the resolution date.

Album releases including non-original tracks such as live-versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums, or similar non original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.

The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.

Lana Del Rey

Travis Scott

new album

Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. 

This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.

If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. 

Bad Bunny

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of June 6, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.


Janice STFU - Drake

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

Ran To Atlanta - Drake

Billboard #1 Song

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of June 6

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on June 30, 2026, 12PM ET.

The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.

In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data.

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.

Bruno Mars

Rihanna

The Weeknd

Top Spotify artist in June?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is formally refused entry into the another country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “refused entry” refers to any formal action by the government of any country (excepting the United Kingdom) that bars Kanye West from lawfully entering it. Qualifying actions include refusing or cancelling a visa for West, issuing an exclusion decision or order against West, or otherwise formally determining that West may not enter a qualifying country.

Actions that do not affect West’s legal ability to enter a country including West voluntarily withdrawing from upcoming appearances, will not alone qualify.

A formal public announcement by a qualifying government, made within this market’s timeframe, that a qualifying action has been taken or will be taken will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of when that action takes effect or any legal challenge it may face.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a qualifying country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

Beyonce

Which artists will have #1 hits in June?

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
 
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

250k-300k

450k+

300k-350k

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding.

If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

Selena Gomez

Patrick Mahomes

Brittany Mahomes

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Diddy released from custody in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes.

The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

August 31

July 31

June 30

Will Ariana Grande release Petal by...?

If Kanye West visits Israel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Kanye West physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Israel. Whether or not Kanye West enters Israeli airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Kanye West, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Charli XCX officially announces a new album between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Re-recorded albums, deluxe/expanded/reissue editions, live albums, greatest-hits/compilations, remix albums, soundtrack albums, and EPs do not count unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. Collaborative albums count only if Charli XCX is credited as a primary/co-lead artist for the album; projects where she is only a featured artist do not.

The resolution source will be Charli XCX’s official channels and a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, The New York Times).



Will Charli XCX announce a new album by July 31?

This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Olivia Rodrigo's album "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love".

To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music.

If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Lorde

Hayley Williams

Addison Rae

Who will be featured on "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love"?

This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart.

If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.

Luke Combs

Ed Sheeran

Zach Bryan

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.

Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

Mariah Carey

Ariana Grande

Peso Pluma

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of June 6, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Iceman - Drake

Dandelion - Ella Langley

GREEN GREEN (EP) - CORTIS

Billboard #1 Album

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of June 6

The 2027 Coachella Valley Music & Arts Festival is scheduled to take place on the weekends of April 9 - 11, 2027 and April 16 - 18, 2027 at the Empire Polo Club in Indio, California.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2027 Coachella Valley Music & Arts Festival between April 9 and April 18, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during a set, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. 

If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2027 Coachella Valley Music & Arts Festival however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Billie Eilish

BLACKPINK

Daft Punk

Who will perform at Coachella 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West and/or Bianca Censori announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Kanye West, Bianca Censori, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.

A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Ariana Grande's album "Petal".

To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music.

If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.