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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$15.1M vol.
65%
25 bps increase34%
No changeFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.5M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)Fed Decision in December?
$1.4M vol.
68%
25 bps increase30%
No changeWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$145.7K vol.
46%
Hike–Hike–Hike26%
Hike–Pause–HikeAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$180.8K vol.
91%
Yes10%
NoHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$107.4K vol.
96%
5.50%83%
5.55%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$54.6K vol.
31%
Below 4.50%27%
Below 4.45%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$670.3K vol.
90%
5.2%73%
5.3%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
$76K vol.
85%
5.50%38%
5.55%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$7K vol.
20%
5.0%19%
4.75%No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$11.4K vol.
43%
October 1535%
September 30Fed Decision in January?
$125.6K vol.
56%
No change35%
25 bps increaseFed rate cut by...?
$3.6M vol.
67%
July 2027 Meeting50%
June 2027 MeetingHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$27K vol.
48%
Below 5.20%41%
Below 5.15%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
$92.4K vol.
77%
5.20%33%
5.25%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
$29.2K vol.
94%
5.07%91%
5.05%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
$70.4K vol.
3%
Below 4.56%3%
Below 4.51%Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$238.8K vol.
4%
Yes97%
NoHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$326.5K vol.
24%
Below 4.7%17%
Below 4.6%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
90%
↑ 4.25%48%
↑ 4.5%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.9M vol.
49%
4.25%44%
≥ 4.5%How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
$19K vol.
49%
027%
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