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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in December?
$30M vol.
89%
25 bps increase9%
50+ bps increaseFed Decision in January?
$3M vol.
63%
25 bps increase38%
No changeHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$55.8M vol.
99%
0 (0 bps)<1%
1 (25 bps)Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$2M vol.
97%
Yes4%
NoFed Decision in March?
$227.6K vol.
63%
25 bps increase33%
No changeFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$719.6K vol.
97%
Hike–Pause–Hike2%
Hike–Pause–PauseFed Decision in April?
$77.9K vol.
63%
No change25%
25 bps increaseFed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$235.4K vol.
58%
Pause-Hike-Hike41%
Pause-Hike-PauseHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$282.2K vol.
88%
5.00%66%
5.05%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$1.1M vol.
48%
5.3%22%
5.4%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$47.7K vol.
83%
4.90%40%
5.00%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$317.2K vol.
80%
5.50%50%
5.60%How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
$61.2K vol.
74%
012%
1What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$7.1M vol.
87%
4.25%10%
≥ 4.5%How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$540.1K vol.
35%
Below 4.8%21%
Below 4.7%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?
$10.8K vol.
84%
5.13%59%
5.17%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
$10.2K vol.
84%
4.88%59%
4.92%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$498.5K vol.
35%
Below 4.55%20%
Below 4.50%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in November?
$8K vol.
90%
5.45%74%
5.49%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?
$7.7K vol.
73%
4.99%59%
5.03%How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$43.8K vol.
30%
Below 4.40%10%
Below 4.30%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$477.1K vol.
9%
December 31<1%
May 30How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$288.3K vol.
69%
Below 5.25%49%
Below 5.20%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?
$7.1K vol.
9%
Below 5.20%8%
Below 5.17%