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Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?
$41 vol.Dec 31, 2026

Live odds and probability for Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?. Predict outcomes on Bitget Wallet.
Outcomes
Yes
$41 Vol.23%
No
$41 Vol.About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina makes Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Statements from Peter Thiel indicating intent to seek citizenship from Argentina will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". Statements from Argentina or its representatives indicating vague or conditional intent to make Peter Thiel a citizen will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Only Argentina's actually making Peter Thiel a citizen will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Honorary citizenship will qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to statements from representatives of Argentina or Peter Thiel. This market may also resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

