This market will resolve according to the number of spots songs by or featuring Drake hold in the top 10 spots of the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week titled "Week of May 30, 2026".

A qualifying song must credit Drake as an artist.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Neymar da Silva Santos Júnior takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Brazil during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp. 

Ariana Grande

The Weeknd

Gracie Abrams

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Kimmel ceases to be the host of Jimmy Kimmel Live! for any length of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Kimmel's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from ABC or Disney, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid.

Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.

Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify.

If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred.

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. 

The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will s1mple retire by June 30?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Marjorie Taylor Greene

Mark Cuban

Rahm Emanuel

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled May 29.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 29 by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

Billie Jean - Michael Jackson

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj

Janice STFU - Drake

#1 Spotify Song

#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 29)

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday.

This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled May 29.

If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled May 29 by May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo

Ran to Atlanta - Drake, Future & Molly Santana

Top US Spotify Song

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 29)

Drake's new album "ICEMAN" is expected to release in 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of weeks in a row "ICEMAN" holds the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart.

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the relevant album does not hold the No. 1 spot on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the first week that would record its release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

The market resolves to "Yes" if Sebastian "Forsen" Fors is officially announced as signed or recruited by an LCK organization by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A professional League of Legends LCK organization is any of the 10 franchised organizations that field a paid League of Legends roster in the LCK.

“Signs” refers to Forsen entering into a paid contract with an organization to compete in League of Legends for that organization. Trials or other relationships that do not include a signed professional playing contract will not count. Sponsorship agreements or other contracts that do not pay Forsen to compete in League of Legends for a specific organization will also not count.

A signed professional contract between Forsen and a qualifying LCK organization within this market’s timeframe will qualify even if its effective start date is after June 30, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the team involved and Forsen, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant before she announces that she is married to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy or marriage announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.

If Taylor Swift does not announce that she is pregnant or married to Travis Kelce by August 31, 2026 ET, or their engagement is otherwise broken off, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be used.

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau are engaged to be married by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Perry and Trudeau have married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Katy Perry and/or Justin Trudeau or one of their official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.



Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - Global chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

YouTuber Jack Doherty was recently arrested in Miami, Florida and charged with possession of a controlled substance (amphetamine), possession of 20 grams or less of marijuana, and resisting an officer without violence.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.

If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

No Prison Time

2-5 Years

<2 Years

Jack Doherty Prison Time?

Olivia Rodrigo's new album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' is expected to release June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Olivia Rodrigo's album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' has not been released by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
 
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

400k-450k

250k-300k

450k+

Olivia Rodrigo 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' First Week Album Sales?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced to be a bridesmaid at Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Taylor Swift's engagement to Travis Kelce is called off, cancelled, or otherwise broken according to official statements from either party or their legal or social media representatives or a consensus of credible reporting, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to announcements or statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the listed individual, or their legal or social media representatives. If no qualifying announcements or statements are made, this market will resolve according to video or photos of the wedding or a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying announcement. Any later revisions or revocations of bridesmaid status will not be considered.

Selena Gomez

Gigi Hadid

Zoë Kravitz

Who will Taylor Swift's bridesmaids be?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cassie Howard and Nate Jacobs get divorced in "Euphoria: Season 3". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying divorce must show Nate Jacobs and Cassie Howard getting a divorce on screen, or a divorce must be said or otherwise accepted to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., other characters discuss the divorce). Announcements of intent to divorce or separation will not qualify.

Only divorces which occur during "Euphoria: Season 3" will qualify. Flashback scenes showing Cassie Howard and Nate Jacobs getting divorced, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions, will not affect resolution. 

Only events depicted in official "Euphoria: Season 3" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "Euphoria: Season 3" is released. 

If the final episode of "Euphoria: Season 3" is not released by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve based off the available episodes.

Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between July 30, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

December 31, 2026

December 31, 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between December 28, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

March 31, 2026

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. 

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. 

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". 

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". 

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

Other (Season Cancelled)

Doug Mason

Richard Van De Water

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Katy perry announces that she is pregnant between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice.    

The resolution source will be statements from Katy Perry or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.

This market will resolve according to the number 1 album on the Billboard 200 chart dated “Week of June 6, 2026”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the Billboard 200 chart for the specified week, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Iceman - Drake

Maid of Honor - Drake

Dandelion - Ella Langley

Billboard #1 Album

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of June 6

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jimmy Donaldson's (aka MrBeast) marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MrBeast, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.