Trump

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Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? card icon

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

$1.8M vol.

100%
20+
46%
40+
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30? card icon

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

$12.2M vol.

3%
Enrichment of Uranium
3%
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? card icon

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

$11.6M vol.

3%
Yes
98%
No
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…? card icon

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

$1.6M vol.

86%
December 31
74%
August 31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$20.7M vol.

10%
Yes
91%
No
Cuban regime falls in 2026? card icon

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

$1.1M vol.

21%
Yes
80%
No
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? card icon

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

$16.5M vol.

21%
December 31
4%
July 31
Where will Trump and Putin meet next? card icon

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

$8.7M vol.

99%
No meeting by June 30
<1%
Turkey
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? card icon

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$27.6M vol.

13%
December 31
2%
July 31
Venezuela leader end of 2026? card icon

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$91.5M vol.

78%
Nicolás Maduro
15%
Delcy Rodríguez
Fed Decision in October? card icon

Fed Decision in October?

$87.3K vol.

60%
No change
31%
25 bps increase
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...? card icon

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

$872.7K vol.

93%
June 25
95%
June 24
Will US annex any territory in 2026? card icon

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

$105.6K vol.

10%
Yes
91%
No
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? card icon

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$38.6M vol.

15%
Yes
87%
No
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...? card icon

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

$51.2K vol.

17%
July 31
7%
June 30
US military draft authorized in 2026? card icon

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$401.7K vol.

10%
Yes
92%
No
Trump out as President by June 30? card icon

Trump out as President by June 30?

$8.4M vol.

<1%
Yes
100%
No
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...? card icon

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?

$4.1M vol.

3%
June 30
<1%
June 12
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal? card icon

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

$1.5M vol.

18%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
11%
Mohammed bin Salman
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? card icon

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$39.7K vol.

74%
July 31
37%
July 10
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? card icon

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

$586.9K vol.

25%
December 31
16%
October 31
Trump out as President before 2027? card icon

Trump out as President before 2027?

$9.2M vol.

10%
Yes
91%
No
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? card icon

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

$102.8K vol.

6%
Yes
96%
No
US announces blockade on Iran by...? card icon

US announces blockade on Iran by...?

$30K vol.

25%
December 31
12%
July 31
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